Spartans battle Buckeyes in pivotal Big Ten brawl
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
02/11/2012 - Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - As if they could squeeze any more drama out of this evening's Big Ten Conference showdown with the 11th-ranked Michigan State Spartans, the third-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes will be seeking their 40th straight home win as they hope to gain some additional breathing room in the race for the conference crown.
Michigan State has come roaring back from a pair of season-opening losses to North Carolina and Duke to win 19 of its last 22 games, and the Spartans currently sit just a game back of Ohio State in the Big Ten standings with an 8-3 league ledger. MSU has won its last two games, the most recent of which being a 77-57 shellacking of Penn State at home on Wednesday night. Coach Tom Izzo's club is a perfect 15-0 at home, but just 4-3 in true road bouts, and 4-5 away from East Lansing all told when you factor in the two neutral-site setbacks to kick off the campaign.
Ohio State is an even more impressive 21-3 this year, with nine of its first 11 Big Ten bouts winding up in the win column. The Buckeyes are riding a six- game win streak, with the latest victory coming in an 87-84 nail-biter versus visiting Purdue this past Tuesday. That win was OSU's 39th straight at home, the streak beginning with a 66-55 triumph over Michigan on February 27, 2010. The school record for longest home win streak is 50 games set between 1960-64.
Michigan State owns a 63-53 lead in the all-time series with Ohio State, but the Buckeyes have won the last three meetings, with the last being a 71-61 decision in Columbus on February 15, 2011.
Draymond Green logged a monster double-double with 23 points and 12 rebounds in leading Michigan State to its recent 20-point win over Penn State. Green, who also added five assists to his impressive stat line, was joined in double figures in the scoring column by Branden Dawson and Adreian Payne with 12 points apiece, and by Keith Appling who tallied 10 points to go with his game- high seven assists. As a team, the Spartans shot a pedestrian 43.4 percent from the field, but held the Nittany Lions to 38.5 percent, which included a dreadful 20.8 percent showing in the first half. As it has pretty much all season long, MSU easily won the battle on the boards (44-25), and outscored PSU both at the foul line (23-11) and in second-chance points (18-1). Green continues to play like a man possessed for the Spartans, as he is averaging a double-double consisting of 15.2 points and 10.6 caroms per contest, while also leading the team in steals (35) and tying for the club-lead with Dawson in blocks (24). Appling (11.8 ppg) is the only other double-digit scorer at the moment, but the unit has six guys in all that average at least 7.0 ppg. Michigan State owns significant margins in both scoring (+14.8) and rebounding (+10.8), but is dead even in turnover differential.
The Buckeyes and Boilermakers went toe-to-toe in Columbus earlier this week, and in the end the former prevailed to keep their lengthy home win streak in tact. William Buford scored a career-high 29 points, 21 of which came in the second half, while Jared Sullinger poured in 18 and Deshaun Thomas and Aaron Craft both chipped in 13 apiece for Ohio State, which made good on 52.0 percent of its total shots, nine of which were from three-point range, while claiming a 26-17 edge in points from the charity stripe. Purdue shot an equally efficient 51.9 percent from the field and both teams took extremely good care of the basketball, combining for a mere 11 turnovers. OSU won the rebounding battle, 32-23. Like Green for MSU, Sullinger (17.4 ppg, 9.0 rpg) excels in both scoring points and coming up with loose balls, while strong support comes from both Buford (15.5 ppg, 4.8 rpg) and Thomas (14.6 ppg, 4.5 rpg). For the season, Ohio State is outscoring the opposition by a staggering 20.3 ppg, outworking them on the glass by 7.5 rpg, and taking advantage in the giveaway/takeaway game by 5.5 tpg. Additionally, the Buckeyes are shooting a stellar 49.1 percent from the floor, while holding foes to a mere 39.7 percent.
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Betting Football
NFL Football Betting OnlineIs there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.